Neil Goodson

Politics: What Is It Good For?

Politics: What Is It Good For?

Heading into the November Election, it’s common for investors to be concerned about how the stock market will perform. Historical stock market performance suggests the market doesn’t really care which party takes office. Still, the economy and profitability are much bigger than the politics at any moment. That is still true today, as hard as that may be to believe.

Real Estate During a Global Pandemic

Real Estate During a Global Pandemic

Including homes, most investors have larger exposure to real estate than they realize. The exposure grows if ownership includes vacation homes, commercial buildings or other investment property. It’s a good idea to take a top down, holistic approach when considering new real estate purchases.

The primary considerations for investors should be whether enough income can be generated from additional direct investment in real estate and if can liquidity be found elsewhere if funds are needed on short notice.

Private real estate is often appealing for its apparent stability. The stock and bond markets, by comparison, can seem unnervingly volatile. Much of real estate’s perceived stability is a result of much lower liquidity, or inability to quickly realize cash proceed from buying and selling. Factoring in the high cost of real estate transactions and ongoing maintenance, taxes, and insurance, the returns are often much lower than a stock and bond portfolio of similar risk.

Not Enough Superlatives

Not Enough Superlatives

The economic impact of the COVID-19 crisis is staggering, resulting in an unprecedented use of the word “unprecedented” to describe many aspects of our current world.

It will take time to recover from the economic fallout of the pandemic, but stocks are already looking toward the eventual recovery. Bond yields remain low, as the Federal reserve is sticking with a policy of ultra-low interest rates.

Investors perceive large technology stocks as the best place to be. However, it is a mistake to extrapolate their past success too far into the future.

In the face of all the uncertainty, it is important to stay grounded in a diversified strategy. That means sticking with a broad basket of stocks and avoiding getting caught in the latest enthusiasm for tech.

Is This for Real?

Is This for Real?

The United States is reeling, and the world continues to battle the COVID-19 pandemic, but it seems as though the markets do not care. The recovery has been swift, but it would be rare for stock prices to continue up in a straight line. Recoveries are rarely one-sided. As financial markets continue to find their way, discounting the improving situation, we recommend staying grounded in your long-term strategy. You don’t need a crystal ball to weather the current situation.

Going Viral

Going Viral

The coronavirus and Middle East turmoil jolted the markets to start 2020, setting back many Wall Street strategists’ outlooks for the year. While the media is hyper-focused on the spreading coronavirus, we take stock of some the positives in the market and some of the risks. It’s a constant battle to combat the apocalyptic thinking that is embedded in our DNA. That makes coming up with a plan important.

The Decade Challenge

The Decade Challenge

2019 capped off a strong decade in financial markets, as the world continued to recover from the 2008-2009 recession. Advances in technology and the companies who brought us these changes were at the heart of a decade of strong financial gains. One implication is the S&P 500 is now less diversified. We believe it’s important more than ever to diversify beyond large US stocks. The future remains unknowable. It’s more productive to invest in preparation than in prediction.

Another Dangerfield Rally

Another Dangerfield Rally

Investors remain skeptical of this year’s double digit gains in stocks, as typically defensive sectors of the market lead the way. Strong returns to bonds have driven much of the financial market’s gains this year, leading some to wonder if it is all real.

Many wonder if we will see a repeat of last year’s fourth quarter correction in stocks. While that is unlikely, investors in stocks should always be prepared for an unexpected ten percent drop at any moment.

With less than two months left in 2019, now is the time to think about changes in your life ahead of the calendar-year rollover.

Have We Won Yet?

Have We Won Yet?

Escalating trade tensions triggered a sharp pullback in August, giving up July’s gains. Global stocks were up 16.6% YTD as of July 31, and now show 12.1% gains through August 6.  Now is the time to re-evaluate your tolerance for ups and downs in the market. Get a plan, keep it simple, and stay invested. Those who can stick with a long-term plan will continue to be rewarded.

Who knew?

Who knew?

Almost no one predicted the surprisingly strong 2019 year-to-date returns for stocks and bonds. The stock market is currently indifferent about a trade war or recession, while declining long-term bond yields indicate the bond market takes a different view. Most things investors worry about are not really important. What is important are the four “deep risks.”